Cryptocurrency Bitcoin Faces Potential Major Adjustment, Max Keiser Suggests Possible Causal Factor
In the world of cryptocurrency, the discussion around Bitcoin's traditional 4-year price cycle is heating up. This cycle, characterized by roughly three years of upward movement followed by about one year of correction, is a well-known pattern in the Bitcoin community. However, opinions on its strict continuation are becoming increasingly skeptical.
On Sunday, Bitcoin faced a decline of 2.21%, going down from $122,300 to $119,590 per coin. This drop may be a sign of the approaching correction phase that many analysts predict will occur between October and December 2025, based on historical patterns and on-chain data.
However, some experts like veteran trader Peter Brandt assign about a 30% chance that Bitcoin has already peaked earlier in this cycle, predicting a correction down to $60,000–$70,000 by late 2026 before the next major bull run.
On the other hand, voices like Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan and CryptoQuant CEO Ki Young Ju have declared that the 4-year cycle is "dead" or changing. They argue that patterns driven by halving events are losing significance due to factors like bigger institutional adoption and changing whale behavior. Instead, they foresee a more "sustained steady boom" with potentially less sharp cycles and volatility.
Crypto analyst Rekt Capital still warns the current cycle could peak soon (October 2025), closely aligned with the previous 2020 pattern, implying a correction thereafter. Meanwhile, general BTC price forecasts for late 2025 and 2026 suggest sideways to mildly bullish price ranges with potential peaks around $120k-$131k in September-October 2025 and possible declines afterward.
Max Keiser, a Bitcoin advocate and financial journalist, is currently the Bitcoin advisor to the El Salvador BTC president Bukele. Although his recent predictions for a price correction are not explicitly mentioned in the latest search results, his past opinions generally align with expectations of significant corrections following cycle tops. Given the broader debate, his predicted correction would fit within the cautious camp that expects a market pullback post-peak.
It's important to note that the Bitcoin-related, leveraged derivatives market is expanding, which could be the source of the next major correction.
In summary, while Bitcoin’s 4-year cycle remains a widely referenced framework, its future form and timing are increasingly debated. Both adherence to tradition and calls for rethinking the cycle based on market evolution are present in the discussion. As the market continues to evolve, it will be interesting to see how the 4-year cycle plays out in the coming months.
- In light of the growing skepticism surrounding Bitcoin's traditional 4-year price cycle, some experts like Peter Brandt predict a potential correction down to $60,000–$70,000 by late 2026, implying a shift from conventional crypto trading to investing.
- The 4-year cycle, once a well-known pattern in the Bitcoin community, is now being questioned by analysts like Matt Hougan and Ki Young Ju, who argue that factors such as increased institutional adoption and changing whale behavior might render the cycle "dead" or changing, leading to a more sustained steady boom.
- As the Bitcoin-related, leveraged derivatives market continues to expand, there may be an increased possibility of a major correction, making the debate on the continuation and future form of the 4-year cycle even more crucial for traders, investors, and financial analysts in the crypto sphere.
