Bitcoin (BTC) Forecast for May 2025: Anticipated Movements and Trends
Crypto King Bitcoin (BTC) Soars Ahead, Gaining Over 14% in 30 Days:
Bitcoin, the digital currency with the biggest market cap, is storming the financial scene once again, surging 14% in the past 30 days. This impressive growth has the leading coin only 6.3% away from hitting the monumental $100,000 benchmark.
The recent rally in Bitcoin's price can be attributed to a stirring uptick in apparent demand, marking the first positive shift since late February. This demand revolves around the net 30-day change in holdings across various investor groups, signaling an intriguing shift in on-chain behavior.
Despite this progress, fresh inflows, notably from US-based ETFs, have remained tepid compared to 2024 levels, suggesting that the institutional conviction has yet to fully return. In a recent statement, MEXC COO Tracy Jin hinted at a possible summer rally shooting the coin up toward $150,000 if the current conditions persist, emphasizing increasingly bullish sentiment.
Ambiguous Demand
Bitcoin's apparent demand rebounded significantly over the past 30 days, jumping to 65,000 BTC. Despite this recovery, the demand level still lags behind earlier 2024 peaks, however, a meaningful inflection point occurred on April 24: Bitcoin's apparent demand turned positive and remained so for six consecutive days after almost two months of continuous outflows.
While this improvement is encouraging, overall demand momentum remains weak, pointing towards most of the recent accumulation stemming from existing holders instead of new capital entering the market. To enable Bitcoin to initiate a lasting surge, both apparent demand and demand momentum need to show consistent and concerted growth.
Steady but Sluggish ETF Inflows
Bitcoin purchases from U.S. ETFs have been largely stable since late March, fluctuating between daily net flows of -5,000 to +3,000 BTC. This activity level starkly contrasts with the robust inflows seen in late 2024, where daily purchases frequently surpassed 8,000 BTC and significantly contributed to Bitcoin's early ascent towards $100,000.
So far in 2025, ETFs have accumulated a collective total of 28,000 BTC, far below the more than 200,000 BTC they had amassed by this point last year, indicating a slowdown in institutional demand, known to be a keystone driver in price movements. There are, however, faint signs of a small rebound, with ETF inflows beginning to tick up recently, albeit insufficient to power a prolonged uptrend.
Approaching the $100,000 Milestone
Bitcoin's price surge is unfolding against a backdrop of broader macroeconomic volatility and policy-driven stressors, including Trump's tariff measures, which have impacted risk assets. Although the crypto market as a whole has been affected, Bitcoin seems to be slowly decoupling, displaying less sensitivity to these external shocks compared to other digital assets.
As of now, BTC sits just 6.3% away from the $100,000 mark and remains around 17% shy of a potential move towards $110,000. Tracy Jin, COO of MEXC, suggested that the prevailing upswing seems to indicate a structural shift in Bitcoin's position within the global financial market. Bitcoin's appeal is expanding as a hedge against inflation and centralized financial institutions.
Jin further added that a summer rally towards $150,000 is highly plausible, with the $95,000 range serving as a springboard for the imminent decisive breakout above $100,000 in the coming days. She also emphasized that global trade tensions easing off and continued institutional accumulation could lead to a surge in Bitcoin price, potentially reaching $200,000 by 2026.
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Disclaimer:
This price analysis focuses on Bitcoin and associated factors, aiming to offer insightful perspectives. However, it is important to remember that market conditions evolve swiftly, so conducting your own research is essential before making any investment decisions. In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this article should not be construed as financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to truthful reporting but emphasizes that market conditions are subject to sudden change without notice. Moreover, our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been revised.
References:
[1] https://www.coindesk.com/markets/2021/04/26/data-dive-bitcoin-s-relatively-resilient-in-ice-age/
[2] https://www.newswire.com/news/abra-bitcoin-price-forecast-for-2025-$122,896-132,703-21658599
[3] https://blockdata.co/bitcoin-price
[4] https://dydx.exchange/blog/dxdy-weekly-roundup-1117-1123
[5] https://cointelegraph.com/news/trumps-tariff-measures-expose-bitcoin-as-an-increasingly-diversifying-store-of-value
- The digital wallet of Bitcoin (BTC) holders has seen an increase of 65,000 BTC in the past 30 days, indicating an improvement in apparent demand.
- While this recovery in demand is encouraging, it still lags behind the peaks seen in early 2024, suggesting that the overall demand momentum remains weak.
- US-based ETFs have been relatively stable in their Bitcoin purchases since late March, fluctuating between daily net flows of -5,000 to +3,000 BTC.
- The current ETF inflows, while ticking up recently, are still insufficient to power a sustained uptrend and are far below the levels seen in late 2024.
- Bitcoin is 6.3% away from hitting the $100,000 benchmark and 17% short of a potential move towards $110,000.
- Tracy Jin, COO of MEXC, has predicted a summer rally towards $150,000, with the $95,000 range serving as a springboard for the imminent decisive breakout above $100,000.
- Global trade tensions easing off and continued institutional accumulation could lead to a surge in Bitcoin price, potentially reaching $200,000 by 2026.
- For those interested in exploring the crypto universe, platforms like Uphold, dYdX, Arkham, BingX, HTX, and TonTrader offer a gateway to trade a variety of assets, including crypto, stocks, and precious metals.
