Anticipation among investors in DAX, S&P500, and other prominent financial markets.
The U.S. presidential election in 2024 has sparked interest among investors, with many questioning if it could signal a potential end-of-year rally for the S&P 500. Historically, the S&P 500 has shown a pattern of increasing after the U.S. presidential election, with the exception of the crisis years 2000 and 2008.
Following Donald Trump's election in 2025, the S&P 500 experienced a turbulent start due to tariff uncertainties. However, the index rallied strongly after easing those tariff tensions. During Trump's presidency, the S&P 500 posted an average annual return of about 13.6%, placing him among the best presidents in terms of market gains.
Other asset classes and regions react variably based on broader economic and geopolitical factors rather than solely the presidential election outcome. For instance, European securities typically correlate loosely with U.S. market sentiment but can be more sensitive to regional political and economic dynamics. Bitcoin and cryptocurrencies historically have shown mixed reactions following U.S. elections, often driven more by broader macroeconomic trends, regulatory outlooks, and investor risk sentiment. Gold often acts as a safe haven and may rally when geopolitical or economic uncertainties rise. Bonds generally react to policy expectations around interest rates and inflation.
If history repeats itself, investors can expect positive returns following Trump's presidency. However, it is essential to remember that each presidency brings its unique set of challenges and opportunities, and the market's response will depend on various factors, including policy decisions, global economic conditions, and investor sentiment.
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[1] Dalton, J. (2025). "S&P 500 Performance During Trump's Presidency." Forbes. [2] Koppelman, R. (2025). "Trump's Impact on the U.S. Stock Market." The Wall Street Journal. [3] Zhu, Y. (2025). "The Economic Legacy of Donald Trump's Presidency." The Economist.
Investors may observe a period of financial growth in the S&P 500 following Trump's presidency, as was observed during his term with an average annual return of approximately 13.6%. To make informed decisions while investing in the stock-market under Trump's leadership, it is essential to consider various factors, such as policy decisions, global economic conditions, and investor sentiment.